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Will Iran strike Israel in March?

data as of 2026-03-01 07:05 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.9K+$2.8K$76
Holders10−1626
Trades52−199251
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate73.6%
+42.0 pp
31.6%
Avg ROI5.6%
−19.6 pp
25.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.95
−0.05×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.95
−0.90×
×1.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$32
$32
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL5.4%
+53.0 pp
-47.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−48.7 pp
48.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.2%
−22.2 pp
22.4%
Bot %0.0%
−24.7 pp
24.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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