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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

data as of 2026-03-01 08:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$22K$34K
Holders413+133280
Trades4.7K+5594.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.0%
−11.2 pp
57.2%
Avg ROI-0.1%
−0.7 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.30
+12.56×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.02
+12.29×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.8K
−$17.1K
$26.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.04
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.4%
−130.0 pp
37.6%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.9%
+3.5 pp
77.5%
Bot %80.8%
+3.6 pp
77.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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