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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

data as of 2026-06-16 00:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.6K−$39K$43K
Holders371+25346
Trades2.3K−1112.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.7%
−22.4 pp
70.1%
Avg ROI6.9%
+5.4 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.70
+0.80×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.02
+3.11×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.4K
−$15.1K
$19.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.20
0.74
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.5%
−93.6 pp
12.1%
Underwater %58.9%
+48.3 pp
10.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.1%
−18.0 pp
52.1%
Bot %37.3%
−21.5 pp
58.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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