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Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

data as of 2026-03-11 14:22 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$452−$23K$23K
Holders82−362444
Trades1.4K+442948
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.9%
−17.2 pp
68.1%
Avg ROI50.2%
+48.0 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.75
+2.76×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.41
+4.44×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$381
$382
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.0%
−89.2 pp
2.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.8 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.7%
−12.2 pp
36.9%
Bot %23.8%
−12.9 pp
36.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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