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Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,174,000 and $1,188,000 on June 30?

data as of 2026-06-06 11:25 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
7¢
NO
93¢
YES
7¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3−$33$35
Holders4+22
Trades505
NO
93¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.0%
−36.4 pp
87.4%
Avg ROI36.3%
+36.4 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$4
$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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