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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10AM ET

data as of 2025-09-05 14:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.3K−$14K$21K
Holders63+1548
Trades448+51397
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.0%
−17.9 pp
60.9%
Avg ROI11.9%
+9.8 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.75
+29.99×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.15
+28.36×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$3.6K
$3.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.73
−0.21
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−125.1 pp
28.7%
Underwater %97.1%
+97.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.8%
−27.8 pp
61.6%
Bot %35.1%
−28.5 pp
63.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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