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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2025-12-05 21:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$47K+$27K$20K
Holders182+57125
Trades3.0K−5693.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate81.0%
+38.4 pp
42.6%
Avg ROI0.1%
+4.0 pp
-3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−41.06×
×41.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−40.42×
×41.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$31.5K
+$25.6K
$5.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.12
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.2%
+136.7 pp
-97.5%
Underwater %7.2%
−88.5 pp
95.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.2%
−21.9 pp
72.1%
Bot %51.9%
−20.5 pp
72.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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