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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4PM ET

data as of 2026-04-08 20:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$9.5K$4.4K
Holders86+977
Trades1.1K−2991.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.0%
−0.4 pp
44.3%
Avg ROI-2.3%
−2.1 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−31.71×
×32.36
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−30.91×
×31.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.9K
+$1.5K
$379
Recent buyer dominance0.70
−0.22
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL63.0%
+159.8 pp
-96.8%
Underwater %0.1%
−92.1 pp
92.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.0%
+5.0 pp
53.0%
Bot %60.7%
+3.8 pp
56.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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