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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET

data as of 2026-01-20 21:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$599K+$551K$48K
Holders259+38221
Trades5.0K+3334.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate98.5%
+29.8 pp
68.7%
Avg ROI1.1%
−7.1 pp
8.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−523.53×
×524.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.95
−538.22×
×539.17
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$75.6K
+$75.6K
−$50
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.99
0.01
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL8.3%
+108.1 pp
-99.8%
Underwater %22.2%
−77.2 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %23.8%
−47.8 pp
71.6%
Bot %22.4%
−49.3 pp
71.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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