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Will Bitcoin reach $122K July 28–August 3?

data as of 2025-08-02 08:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.8K−$26K$29K
Holders15−116
Trades187+26161
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.1%
−21.4 pp
64.5%
Avg ROI-8.9%
−9.1 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.33
+2.42×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.28
+5.39×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$39
−$172
$133
Recent buyer dominance0.03
−0.49
0.51
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.7%
−98.6 pp
9.9%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.0 pp
0.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %87.0%
−5.6 pp
92.6%
Bot %87.0%
−5.6 pp
92.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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