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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 03:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.6K−$6.6K$13K
Holders325+116209
Trades1.9K+3681.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.5%
−3.4 pp
50.8%
Avg ROI0.9%
+0.0 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.67
+7.96×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.95
+7.26×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.6K
−$5.0K
$10.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.09
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.0%
−129.1 pp
41.2%
Underwater %98.0%
+93.3 pp
4.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.0%
+2.2 pp
31.8%
Bot %59.1%
−8.5 pp
67.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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