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Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?

data as of 2026-02-01 21:21 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Nov 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
88¢
NO
10¢
YES
88¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.9K+$4.6K$369
Holders9−2938
Trades82−66148
NO
10¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate77.8%
+24.2 pp
53.6%
Avg ROI5.4%
−63.9 pp
69.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.25×
×1.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.22×
×1.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$126
+$109
$18
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+18.2 pp
-18.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−68.8 pp
68.8%
Bot %0.0%
−68.8 pp
68.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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