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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2025-12-12 01:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$31K+$18K$13K
Holders169−35204
Trades2.0K−5812.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.9%
+7.2 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI-1.1%
−4.8 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−26.66×
×27.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−30.76×
×31.36
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.9K
+$4.0K
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.02
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL63.5%
+160.2 pp
-96.7%
Underwater %0.1%
−99.9 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.0%
−13.5 pp
59.5%
Bot %48.0%
−14.3 pp
62.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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