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Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 19?

data as of 2026-05-19 12:35 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$500+$502$-3
Holders1−23
Trades5−3237
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate95.4%
+66.5 pp
28.9%
Avg ROI-0.5%
−40.0 pp
39.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−2.00×
×3.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−1.55×
×2.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$386
+$386
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.0%
+60.8 pp
-60.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+22.3 pp
77.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−22.3 pp
22.3%
Bot %0.0%
−22.3 pp
22.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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