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Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on December 30?

data as of 2025-12-29 08:19 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$168−$43K$43K
Holders60−329389
Trades424−90514
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.2%
−41.0 pp
77.2%
Avg ROI61.6%
+60.3 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.00
+9.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.53
+13.54×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$6.2K
$6.2K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.3%
−94.5 pp
1.1%
Underwater %69.2%
+69.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.8%
+7.5 pp
32.3%
Bot %50.9%
+9.4 pp
41.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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