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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 18:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.4K−$6.8K$16K
Holders298+28270
Trades2.7K−1602.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
−0.8 pp
49.6%
Avg ROI1.7%
−0.7 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.73
+6.12×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.90
+6.28×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.2K
−$5.3K
$14.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.04
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.1%
−146.2 pp
61.0%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.7%
−1.3 pp
39.0%
Bot %55.8%
−1.7 pp
57.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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