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Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

data as of 2026-05-19 22:41 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.3K−$16K$18K
Holders123−73196
Trades627+23604
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
−15.7 pp
68.5%
Avg ROI10.8%
+9.5 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−0.41×
×1.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−0.18×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$53
$60
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.43
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.9%
+22.1 pp
-2.2%
Underwater %30.0%
−42.6 pp
72.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.6%
+5.3 pp
17.3%
Bot %22.8%
+5.3 pp
17.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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