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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6PM ET

data as of 2025-10-16 22:47 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$54K−$4.9K$59K
Holders329+188141
Trades1.4K−3421.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate71.2%
+6.6 pp
64.6%
Avg ROI1.3%
+2.1 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.49×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×46.20
+45.66×
×0.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$40
−$217
$257
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.27
0.66
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−183.3 pp
85.4%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.6%
−1.6 pp
62.2%
Bot %6.8%
−2.5 pp
9.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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