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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

data as of 2026-04-30 09:48 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$15K$6.0K
Holders302−60362
Trades2.3K−1232.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.5%
+3.9 pp
48.6%
Avg ROI449.8%
+26.7 pp
423.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−16.20×
×16.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−14.52×
×15.27
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.5K
+$6.1K
$5.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.07
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.8%
+133.4 pp
-93.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.0%
+2.9 pp
66.0%
Bot %76.5%
+5.3 pp
71.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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