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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-19 20:50 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$11K$9.1K
Holders234−47281
Trades2.0K+32.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate71.7%
+26.4 pp
45.3%
Avg ROI1.9%
−4.8 pp
6.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−49.48×
×50.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−43.96×
×44.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.7K
+$9.3K
$8.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.05
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL54.9%
+152.6 pp
-97.7%
Underwater %32.6%
−55.1 pp
87.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.0%
−11.4 pp
36.4%
Bot %37.7%
−16.4 pp
54.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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