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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

data as of 2026-04-01 22:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$9.7K$24K
Holders260+40220
Trades3.2K−33.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
−12.5 pp
62.1%
Avg ROI-0.0%
−0.2 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.04
+19.40×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.26
+19.60×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.1K
−$2.9K
$9.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.0%
−149.6 pp
54.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.3%
−0.4 pp
86.7%
Bot %83.7%
−0.5 pp
84.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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