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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 16?

data as of 2026-01-16 15:58 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$198K+$198K$168
Holders32+230
Trades94−130224
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate97.5%
+57.4 pp
40.1%
Avg ROI0.3%
−20.7 pp
21.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.02
−8.80×
×9.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
−5.27×
×6.28
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$166.7K
+$166.7K
−$1
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-1.5%
+79.4 pp
-80.8%
Underwater %99.0%
+29.8 pp
69.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.0%
−19.5 pp
20.5%
Bot %1.0%
−19.5 pp
20.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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