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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6PM ET

data as of 2026-03-12 22:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.9K−$29K$37K
Holders190+30160
Trades2.2K+312.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.2%
−5.9 pp
54.1%
Avg ROI-1.8%
−1.9 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.33
+25.62×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.23
+25.52×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$151
−$796
$948
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.30
0.64
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.2%
−138.1 pp
41.9%
Underwater %98.5%
+98.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.3%
+3.3 pp
75.1%
Bot %75.5%
+1.8 pp
73.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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