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Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

data as of 2026-06-23 07:45 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Aug 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
86¢
NO
14¢
YES
86¢
YesY-NNo
Position$86−$3$89
Holders2−46
Trades2−57
NO
14¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.2%
−11.3 pp
51.5%
Avg ROI2.3%
+2.3 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.07×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.01×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$86
+$93
−$7
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+1.1 pp
-1.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−17.8 pp
17.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−2.4 pp
2.4%
Bot %0.0%
−2.4 pp
2.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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