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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

data as of 2025-11-04 18:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.0K−$3.7K$13K
Holders79+178
Trades1.2K−161.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.1%
−3.4 pp
48.5%
Avg ROI-3.3%
−4.8 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.37
−19.82×
×20.19
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.40
−21.80×
×22.20
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.3K
−$43
$5.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.07
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL153.8%
+249.4 pp
-95.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.3%
−17.0 pp
82.4%
Bot %72.6%
−14.4 pp
87.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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