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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 15?

data as of 2026-06-15 06:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$49−$3.1K$3.2K
Holders41−2970
Trades229−27256
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate17.5%
−68.0 pp
85.6%
Avg ROI-10.2%
−25.0 pp
14.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.09
+2.10×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.94
+2.96×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$121
$122
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.18
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-75.6%
−77.5 pp
1.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+94.3 pp
5.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.3%
+5.9 pp
6.3%
Bot %18.8%
+7.7 pp
11.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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