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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2025-12-29 18:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K−$22K$43K
Holders316−43359
Trades5.9K+3075.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
−6.0 pp
56.5%
Avg ROI0.6%
+0.0 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.44
+14.82×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.08
+16.42×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.2K
−$15.7K
$17.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.01
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−149.6 pp
55.2%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.3%
+5.4 pp
54.9%
Bot %67.0%
+3.9 pp
63.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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