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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 6?

data as of 2026-05-06 06:56 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.9K+$1.6K$330
Holders47−1259
Trades182−19201
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
+7.9 pp
41.7%
Avg ROI5.7%
−10.6 pp
16.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−9.47×
×10.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−7.58×
×8.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$219
+$200
$19
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL67.3%
+156.0 pp
-88.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.8 pp
96.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.3%
−33.2 pp
38.5%
Bot %16.5%
−22.1 pp
38.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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