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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 14:33 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K+$11K$13K
Holders337+22315
Trades2.3K−4082.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
+3.0 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI0.9%
+2.8 pp
-1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−12.31×
×12.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−11.58×
×12.20
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.6K
+$5.9K
$12.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL60.4%
+152.3 pp
-91.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.7%
+0.4 pp
42.4%
Bot %61.9%
−0.9 pp
62.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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