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Will Matthew McConaughey (The Lost Bus) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

data as of 2025-12-11 07:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6−$3.3K$3.3K
Holders15+510
Trades72+4923
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate17.2%
−82.1 pp
99.3%
Avg ROI107.5%
+106.8 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.85
+0.86×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$1.6K
$1.6K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-46.1%
−46.2 pp
0.1%
Underwater %62.1%
+62.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.1%
+12.4 pp
27.7%
Bot %40.6%
+11.1 pp
29.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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