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Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in March 2026?

data as of 2026-01-24 18:11 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$52−$9.4K$9.4K
Holders44+2420
Trades628+399229
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.3%
−37.9 pp
71.2%
Avg ROI20.9%
+13.7 pp
7.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.03×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.51
+10.53×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$37
$37
Recent buyer dominance0.67
−0.33
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.6%
−92.9 pp
2.3%
Underwater %71.3%
+71.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.7%
−16.5 pp
97.2%
Bot %80.7%
−16.5 pp
97.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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