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Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 1?

data as of 2026-06-30 06:11 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
10¢
NO
90¢
YES
10¢
YesY-NNo
Position$12−$81$93
Holders1−34
Trades3−14
NO
90¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.1%
+17.3 pp
37.8%
Avg ROI27.8%
+26.4 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.01
+0.01×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.01
+0.00×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10
−$83
$93
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.8%
−0.2 pp
-0.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+30.7 pp
69.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−24.4 pp
24.4%
Bot %0.0%
−24.4 pp
24.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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