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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 37-38°F on December 2?

data as of 2025-12-01 23:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$378−$97K$97K
Holders67−109176
Trades565+82483
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate15.0%
−73.6 pp
88.6%
Avg ROI14.8%
+15.7 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.48
+0.48×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.50
+1.50×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$265
$266
Recent buyer dominance0.68
−0.32
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-60.4%
−60.9 pp
0.5%
Underwater %64.1%
+7.7 pp
56.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.5%
+17.0 pp
9.5%
Bot %26.6%
+17.1 pp
9.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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