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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 05:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$6.4K$20K
Holders500−30530
Trades3.7K−6044.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.9%
+4.5 pp
46.5%
Avg ROI5.8%
−2.3 pp
8.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×64.24
+63.94×
×0.30
Top-20 avg cost vs price×58.03
+57.67×
×0.36
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24.0K
+$11.8K
$12.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.08
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.3%
−290.9 pp
192.6%
Underwater %95.2%
+94.9 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.7%
+5.5 pp
26.2%
Bot %43.6%
+8.6 pp
35.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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