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XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 19:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$49−$64$113
Holders39+2712
Trades119+10217
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate15.7%
−47.9 pp
63.7%
Avg ROI4.7%
+4.0 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.65
+2.75×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.88
+10.05×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$47
−$1
$48
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.7%
−111.8 pp
21.1%
Underwater %89.7%
+89.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.4%
−24.6 pp
75.0%
Bot %65.8%
−25.7 pp
91.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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