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Will the People's Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?

data as of 2025-03-07 16:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$63−$64K$64K
Holders85−16101
Trades1.4K+822536
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.5%
+3.5 pp
49.0%
Avg ROI-1.6%
−0.5 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.08
+0.07×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.33
+0.33×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$160
$161
Recent buyer dominance0.52
−0.48
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-27.0%
−26.5 pp
-0.5%
Underwater %96.6%
−0.4 pp
97.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.6%
+1.3 pp
81.3%
Bot %82.6%
+1.3 pp
81.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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