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Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

data as of 2025-12-16 02:43 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$82K+$78K$3.3K
Holders123−312435
Trades15K+9.8K5.3K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate67.0%
+45.0 pp
22.0%
Avg ROI2.0%
+2.5 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.95
−1.38×
×2.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.94
−9.75×
×10.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1.6K
−$1.7K
$42
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL11.2%
+96.3 pp
-85.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.1%
+11.8 pp
16.3%
Bot %28.1%
+13.6 pp
14.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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