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Will the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on March 16?

data as of 2026-03-16 18:47 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.1K−$31K$32K
Holders117−86203
Trades2.1K+6061.5K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.2%
−33.6 pp
74.8%
Avg ROI4.5%
+4.9 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.81
+1.82×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.29
+2.30×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$182
$186
Recent buyer dominance0.69
−0.10
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-72.0%
−74.0 pp
2.0%
Underwater %99.9%
+98.8 pp
1.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.7%
+44.5 pp
15.1%
Bot %58.5%
+51.2 pp
7.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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