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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

data as of 2026-01-16 10:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K−$3.6K$42K
Holders437+149288
Trades6.6K+1516.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.0%
−11.4 pp
60.4%
Avg ROI3.8%
+5.2 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×49.00
+48.42×
×0.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.98
+40.41×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.9K
−$13.1K
$15.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.10
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−173.5 pp
76.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.9%
−16.8 pp
75.7%
Bot %58.1%
−17.7 pp
75.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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