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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-19 18:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.3K−$34K$42K
Holders474−40514
Trades3.7K+1853.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.3%
−13.7 pp
61.0%
Avg ROI2.2%
+1.1 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.80
+1.87×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.04
+2.09×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.6K
−$31.7K
$39.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-68.7%
−77.3 pp
8.6%
Underwater %83.3%
+50.1 pp
33.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.6%
−6.1 pp
39.7%
Bot %52.1%
−3.5 pp
55.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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