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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 07:27 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.8K−$13K$17K
Holders339+119220
Trades2.1K+7681.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−7.9 pp
55.1%
Avg ROI0.4%
−1.3 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.72
+10.98×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.79
+8.04×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.6K
−$3.5K
$7.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.6%
−128.9 pp
38.3%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.6%
−6.1 pp
64.7%
Bot %70.8%
+0.2 pp
70.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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