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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-21 18:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$5.7K$6.7K
Holders119−31150
Trades1.8K−1752.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
+8.1 pp
44.7%
Avg ROI-0.5%
−13.1 pp
12.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−36.07×
×36.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−33.69×
×34.40
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.7K
+$4.9K
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.05
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL44.7%
+141.6 pp
-96.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.4 pp
96.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.9%
+9.5 pp
56.4%
Bot %77.2%
+6.8 pp
70.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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