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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 06:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.0K−$1.3K$5.3K
Holders129+28101
Trades983+3980
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.7%
−0.4 pp
52.0%
Avg ROI1.0%
−0.6 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×46.71
+46.10×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.67
+40.05×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.6K
−$298
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.22
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−167.9 pp
70.4%
Underwater %95.0%
+95.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.3%
−0.2 pp
60.5%
Bot %62.6%
−4.7 pp
67.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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