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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

data as of 2026-02-03 22:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K−$79K$99K
Holders473+140333
Trades9.6K+7138.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.8%
−28.2 pp
58.0%
Avg ROI15.6%
+17.6 pp
-2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.26
+12.40×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.36
+13.56×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.7K
−$22.0K
$24.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.10
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.9%
−114.8 pp
21.9%
Underwater %93.3%
+90.5 pp
2.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.4%
−3.9 pp
76.4%
Bot %71.4%
−4.4 pp
75.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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