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Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

data as of 2026-05-01 03:19 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$25K−$186K$212K
Holders612+41571
Trades11K+3.6K7.7K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.2%
−25.9 pp
74.1%
Avg ROI20.4%
+18.1 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×60.72
+59.79×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×110.57
+109.67×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$356
−$34.1K
$34.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.09
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.9%
−110.6 pp
11.7%
Underwater %95.8%
+77.2 pp
18.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.9%
−5.6 pp
15.5%
Bot %9.9%
−6.6 pp
16.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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