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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

data as of 2026-04-25 06:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$15K$6.2K
Holders219−111330
Trades2.1K−3092.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.7%
+7.3 pp
45.4%
Avg ROI-1.9%
−0.6 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−9.20×
×9.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−7.52×
×8.27
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.6K
+$10.1K
$5.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.02
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL34.0%
+122.4 pp
-88.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.1 pp
97.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.7%
+1.3 pp
75.5%
Bot %77.6%
+0.7 pp
76.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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