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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 06:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K−$16K$36K
Holders512+114398
Trades4.8K+5244.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.1%
−2.9 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI5.1%
+3.3 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.87
+17.20×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.25
+17.59×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.5K
−$14.8K
$32.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.05
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.0%
−138.6 pp
44.6%
Underwater %95.7%
+93.1 pp
2.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.2%
−1.1 pp
45.3%
Bot %51.9%
−11.9 pp
63.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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