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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 21?

data as of 2026-04-21 08:38 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.7K−$11K$13K
Holders279+85194
Trades1.6K+703935
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.6%
−27.3 pp
68.9%
Avg ROI13.9%
+21.3 pp
-7.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.58
+23.66×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.41
+28.52×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$646
$651
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.22
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−109.7 pp
12.3%
Underwater %99.9%
+98.6 pp
1.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.4%
+8.9 pp
19.5%
Bot %29.0%
+10.5 pp
18.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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