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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

data as of 2025-10-07 19:52 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$577−$345$921
Holders16+214
Trades82+2062
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.2%
−2.5 pp
54.7%
Avg ROI9.7%
+9.0 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.64
+39.86×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×38.86
+38.11×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$410
+$18
$392
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−129.8 pp
32.4%
Underwater %96.6%
+96.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.3%
−33.6 pp
79.8%
Bot %39.6%
−40.3 pp
79.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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