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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 24?

data as of 2026-04-24 15:07 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$261−$7.0K$7.3K
Holders96−39135
Trades1.0K+576465
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.8%
−45.4 pp
73.2%
Avg ROI12.4%
+15.4 pp
-3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.31
+2.33×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.57
+2.60×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$59
$60
Recent buyer dominance0.68
−0.32
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-73.8%
−76.7 pp
2.9%
Underwater %98.2%
+98.0 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.8%
+2.8 pp
5.0%
Bot %10.9%
+4.9 pp
6.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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